A simply stunning image for framing behind glass,…, Stunningly beautiful abstract wall art print of black and gold coloured marble. It is then expected to become an overland depression and result in significant rain over eastern parts of SA. The extreme rise in water levels and strong winds can cause severe flooding, property damage, and beach and coastal highway erosion.Please let us know where in Mozambique you live. The thunderstorm activity in a tropical cyclone produces intense rainfall, potentially resulting in flooding, mudslides, and landslides. The report said the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) weather model forecasted Eloise would move south along the Mozambique coastline while the Global Forecast System (GFS) model had indicating that it would make landfall over Mozambique and move west into South Africa impacting … Latest trajectory from Meteo France now indicates even slightly more North than the trajectory posted this morning putting Beira directly in her sights.As always the track can change again but this is current as of 14h00 SAST Thursday 21 January 2021, The EYE of Severe Tropical Storm Eloise is re-developing, as was expected. This is a very dangerous situation for those of you in Mozambique. Beautiful wildlife wall art print of the back end of an African Elephant. ⚠️Yellow level 1 for severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours, gusty winds and excessive lightning resulting in localized damages to settlements formal/informal, vehicles and a short-term disruptionto power over the eastern interior spreading to the coastline. The category-1 storm is poised to move inland over East African countries. We always have the latest up to date, If you have a compliment, suggestion or any feedback regarding this resource please. Furthermore, crowded evacuees in shelters increase the risk of disease propagation. NB: Eyewall mesovortices are small scale rotational features found in the eyewalls of intense tropical cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Eloise. Tropical Depression Eloise has exited SA and is now positioned over SE-Botswana. Reaching north-eastern coast of Madagascar this evening. THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS ERODED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SOME FLARING DEEPER CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. Heavy inland rainfall eventually flows into coastal estuaries, damaging marine life in coastal estuaries. Poor land use management practises, including land-clearing and poor agricultural land management in the upper river basin; 3. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on the Suomi NPP satellite acquired this image of Tropical Cyclone Eloise at 12:50 p.m. local time in Mozambique (1050 Universal Time) on January 22, 2021. @DiagneAndrea https://t.co/QXOLQQNsqc, View of Africa and the Indian Ocean basin featuring TC #Joshua and TC #Eloise today 01/19 real-time #Meteosat8 SEVIRI Visible and Infrared products with the #UWSSEC derived Rain Rate satellite composite. Associated soil erosion and increased run-off; and. In late January 2021, Tropical Cyclone Eloise caused widespread damage and heavy flooding in central Mozambique. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SYMMETRIC MASS OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION WHICH IS SHEARED TO THE EAST OF THE OBSCURED LOW LEVEL … A geostationary satellite image (Meteosat Second Generation) of Southern Africa at 08h00 SAST this morning, Friday 22 January 2021. Images: Lauren Dauphin/NASA Earth Observatory]. Orange (L9) warning: Disruptive Rain: 24/01/2021 00h00 TO:25/01/2021 00h00 – is expected over the eastern parts of Mpumalanga, as well as northern and eastern parts of Limpopo from Sunday into Monday. NASA Earth Observatory image by Lauren Dauphin, using VIIRS data from NASA EOSDIS LANCE, GIBS/Worldview, and the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership. Although cyclones take an enormous toll in lives and personal property, they may be important factors in the precipitation regimes of places they affect and bring much-needed precipitation to otherwise dry regions. Outer bands are starting to affect the Lowveld areas of Limpopo later today. pic.twitter.com/h8Nd7F8Ydn, High Definition early morning photo of Cyclone #Eloise. 4. While these tornadoes are normally not as strong as their non-tropical counterparts, heavy damage or loss of life can still occur. They are similar, in principle, to small “suction vortices” often observed in multiple-vortex tornadoes. Severe Tropical Storm Eloise is a current tropical cyclone weakening from land interaction with Madagscar at present. Alternatively, “Eloise” could gradually begin to move on a more southerly parabolic path (often termed a “polewards-accelerating” trajectory), which could potentially take it further down the Mozambican coastline and (possibly) into the northeastern lowveld region of South Africa. Tertiary hazards include spikes in prices of food and other necessities, as well as long term hazards like water-borne diseases. The Met Department say the Tropical Storm is likely to make landfall near Beira Saturday morning 23/01/2021. Two figures illustrate the changes that have occurred in the upper atmosphere since Monday. Moreover, some villages that have been impacted by Eloise were already flooded after heavy downfall and extreme weather events in December 2020. While wetlands do contribute to flow control, their capacity is finite and once saturated, they have little impact in terms of reducing the impacts of flooding. Current as of 14h00 SAST Thursday 21 January 2021 pic.twitter.com/DMiYZvM6lo, TS #Eloise has veered significantly NW in recent hours and its LLCC is now almost offshore in the Mozambique Channel again.A METAR report out of Mahajanga Airport reveals a pressure near 998mb as the storm passed just to its south. We are a voice to you; you have been a support to us. Tropical Cyclone Eloise was the strongest tropical cyclone to impact the country of Mozambique since Cyclone Kenneth in 2019 and the second in a row of three consecutive tropical cyclones to impact Mozambique in the 2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season. Worse Case Scenario: Widespread Torrential Rain condusive to Flooding and Landslides, winds, Damaging Storm Surge along the coast, Damage to infrastructure, Tornadoes. Have a look at the alert areas below. The northern side is built up well but the southern side not so much. The storm displaced more than 16,000 people, damaged around 17,000 houses, and killed more than a dozen people across a few countries in southeast Africa. The storm surges and winds of Tropical Storms and -Cyclones may be destructive to human-made structures, but they also stir up the waters of coastal estuaries, which are typically important fish-breeding locales. At the current time, “Eloise” is classified to be a Moderate Tropical Storm, with a central pressure slightly less than1000 hPa (hectopascal) but nevertheless set to intensify in the coming days. BY TAU 120, LAND INTERACTION WILL REDUCE IT TO 60KTS. A…, Beautiful abstract wall art print of a natural fibonacci spiral on an Aloe plant. Tropical Cyclone Eloise is expected to strengthen as it approaches Mozambique, creating a wind … Cyclone Eloise has hit the country. It is very difficult to say if the Severe Tropical Storm will impact SA or not at this stage. So the winds are predominantly high-pressure related as shown by blue arrows. Since then, over 17,000 houses have been washed away and thousands of acres of farmlands have been flooded. Eloise is expected to weaken into an overland depression and move into parts of Limpopo tomorrow. Strong windgusts are also expected in parts of the SE-Botswana and parts of SA today (Image 4). The latest accumulated rainfall showing heavy rainfall possible over north-eastern South Africa on Sunday into Monday. ⚠️Orange Level(9) warning for disruptive rain with heavy downpours resulting in localized flooding over the Lowveld of Mpumalanga and Limpopo including the northern parts of the Limpopo Province as well as north-eastern parts of KwaZulu-Natal from Sunday on 24th January to Monday 25th January 2021. A satellite image shows Eloise over the island of Madagascar. Weather warnings have been issued by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) for flooding in Mpumalanga, Limpopo and Northern Kwazulu-Natal. Current wind speed 85km/h. The good news is that, as “Eloise” moves across the landmass of northern Madagascar, it will be exposed to increased friction, as the winds interact with the rough land surface. This small change of angle has a significant effect on where the storm will make landfall and where it will go from there. The Meteorological department have since issued an advisory; Blowing at over 160 km per hour, the cyclone toppled trees and electricity poles. Sustained winds could then be around 70 knots with gusts exceeding 100 knots (>200 km/hr). Following #Chalane, @UNFPAMocambique is closely monitoring Storm #Eloise. Those making such claims are very irrespossible, because their statements may cause mass panic and confusion to say the least. On Wednesday it will form into an enlarged tropical Low stretching northward to the Caprivi strip. OF NOTE, THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE TRACKERS MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM ALONG A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERN TRACK THAN THE OTHER CONSENSUS MODELS. Eloise is likely to intensify once it re-enters the Mozambique Channel. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE ABLE TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY, REACHING A PEAK OF 75 KNOTS JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 4. The photo is an actual cloud photo of the situation at 11.30 a.m. this morning 25th January. Northern parts of our country have already had very heavy rainfall and that water has to go somewhere. We always say Watch the skies and use your Eyes !!!! Join the SWAICSA Facebook Group for the most thorough updates on any severe weather in Southern Africa. TC 12S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED TO THE SOUTHEAST. pic.twitter.com/LKnUqJv2hj, #MeteoReunion #12S #ELOISE – Point à 10h00 (22/01) par le CMRS : FORTE TEMPÊTE TROPICALE – -18.9 Sud / 38.2 Est à 1815 km à l'Ouest de la . Despite their devastating effects, tropical cyclones are also beneficial, by potentially bringing rain to dry areas and moving heat from the tropics poleward. Your email address will not be published. The cyclone lashed the country when it was coping with the harmful effects of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Eloise is now an Overland depression with still much rain to deliver. There will always be a possibility of a Tropical Cyclone making landfall to SA when they are positioned in the Mosambique Channel. Stay Vigilant !!! In the interest of whether Severe Tropical Storm Eloise will impact SA or not, we would like to emphasize it again that Tropical Systems are erractic in both movement and intensity. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on the Suomi NPP satellite acquired this image of the cyclone at 12:50 p.m. local time in Mozambique (1050 Universal Time) on January 22, 2021. This will cause serious strain on emergency services. From Angelo Ricardo Hoorn of SWAICSA – Please be advised that any rain falling over MP at this very moment is as a result of Tropical Depression “Eloise”. Infections of cuts and bruises can be greatly amplified by wading in sewage-polluted water. At the current time, the speculative possibility of “Eloise” directly affectingSouth Africa is only one of a multitude of possible outcomes, given the long lead-time, and should be considered to be a “low probability / high uncertainty” worst-case scenario. Caption by Kathryn … With staff on standby, #UNFPA is working with agencies to ensure support to Govt. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS. A storm surge can do major damage to anything (or anyone) in its path. Can you see the eye of Eloise developing? Will Eloise impact SA as a Full-fledged Tropical Cyclone with winds in excess of 118km/h? ⚠️Yellow level(4) warning for damaging winds with wind speeds ranging between 50 to 60km/h resulting in injuries and danger to life from flying debris, damage to settlements, structural damage, transport routes and travel services affected by wind and falling trees expected over the Vhembe District of Limpopo and Mkhanyakude District of KwaZulu-Natal on Monday (25/01/2021). Tropical Disturbance INVEST 99S that spawned Eloise was first noted on 14 January as it entered a region marginally favourable to development. 7. Update on Tropical Storm (TC12S) #eloise as of Tuesday 19 Jan @ 23h00 SAST and 02h00 Wednesday 20 Jan.Next update to follow later this morning. #Eloise could be developing a board circulation on Microwave imagery. However, the depression will continue to draw in very humid air which includes inter-tropical convergence (see ITCZ), so rain will continue to be copious. A handout satellite image made available by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) of Tropical Cyclone Eloise at 12:50 p.m. local time (10:50 p.m. Universal Time), in Mozambique, 22 January 2021 (issued 23 January 2021).. Although the Storm is only expected to make landfall (officially) in Beira within the next 12 hours, it has already started to affect the coastal regions of Mosambique (between Angoche and Beira) with heavy rain, rough seas and strong winds as it is moving parrallel to the coast, towards Beira.A Tropical Cyclone or -Storm is classified as making LANDFALL when the center of the storm moves across the coast; in strong tropical cyclones this is when the eye moves over land. Mozambique, Madagascar, Zimbabwe - Tropical Cyclone ELOISE update (ECHO 22 Jan 2021) Fri, 22 Jan 2021 02:00 Tropical Cyclone (TC) ELOISE is moving south-west over the Mozambique Channel, towards the central coast of Mozambique and on 22 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located about 350 km north-east of Beira City (Sofala Province, central Mozambique), with maximum sustained … Max Predicted Wind Speed 95 knots / MPH at Saturday, 23 Jan 2021 8:00 AM. Another amazing weather event will bring heavy rains to the interior of South Africa – a new blog post will follow in this regard. Too early to say, but not likely. A simply stunning image for framing…, Beautiful fine art monochromatic wildlife wall art print of a Golden Eagle. pic.twitter.com/zzl2z1usTM, Cyclone #Eloise is set to intensify before it moves closer to the coast of #Madagascar. More on https://t.co/AtqdB5wRtY pic.twitter.com/b1CwO2Q4te, Severe tropical storm #Eloise will reach #Madagascar overnight. They are completely separate systems and are moving apart as shown by the thin yellow arrows. The relatively quick surge in sea level can move miles/kilometers inland, flooding homes and cutting off escape routes. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN FAIRLY TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. TC 12S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER MADAGASCAR PRIOR TO EMERGING OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL PRIOR TO TAU 24. Zoom Earth shows live weather satellite images of the Earth in a fast, zoomable map. BASED ON THE MSI AND A 190608Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. (Beira was devastated by Cat-2 Cyclone IDAI in 2019.) AFTERWARDS, TC 12S WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE AND LAND INTERACTION WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM THEREAFTER AS IT TRACKS INLAND. I’ve created this diagram in the hope of clearing up some misunderstandings over the recent heavy rain and winds in the north-east of RSA. Very strong windgusts are expected in parts of northern KZN this morning. Last Updated on 16th Feb 2021 4:40 PM by AfriWX. (see below). THE RUGGED MADAGASCAR TERRAIN WILL WEAKEN THE CYCLONE TO 30KTS BY TAU 24; HOWEVER, AFTER IT EXITS INTO THE WARM MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IT WILL GRADUALLY RE-INTENSIFY TO 80KTS BEFORE LANDFALL. “LE” will remain fairly stationary in south Botswana and continue to deliver patches of moderate to heavy rain. The broad rotation of a land-falling tropical cyclone often spawns tornadoes, particularly in their LEFT FRONT QUADRANT. See a hi-res version here-> https://t.co/8AzjTsl9tr #RealEarth™ #UWCIMSS pic.twitter.com/HF5FtUGfXW, [South-West Indian Ocean]• Satellite fix on Tropical Cyclone #12S | Severe Tropical Storm 7 (#ÉLOÏSE) as of 12:00 UTC, January 19, 2021. pic.twitter.com/OAl4DhooNt, Latest update on Severe Tropical Storm / Cyclone #EloiseFull post at https://t.co/xXYXEFcFjF pic.twitter.com/XGfPtBxCnK, MEDIA RELEASE from @SAWeatherServic on tropical storm #Eloise pic.twitter.com/kA44FWjG8h, The composite image below shows the 3 tropical cyclones #Eloise, #Joshua and #Kimi (L-R) over the Indian Ocean. Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall earlier this morning (Sat 23 Jan 2021) in the Beira area of Mozambique. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12S (ELOISE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 358NM NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKEDSOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. The SAWS, the Weather Authority of SA, has not issued any OFFICIAL WARNINGS to SA yet.- Courtesy SWAICSA. Orange level 9 warning for Disruptive Rain leading to widespread flooding and damages to roads, bridges, informal and formal settlements, danger to lives due to fast flowing streams, very poor driving conditions, communities not accessible or cut off, widespread disruption to transport routes and travel services along the escarpment and eastern parts of Limpopo, the eastern Highveld, escarpment and Lowveld of Mpumalanga and the north-eastern parts of KwaZulu-Natal until Monday. The EYE (images 5 & 6) has developed and the Storm is still intensifying. Courtesy – Angelo Ricardo Hoorn – SWAICSA : The Latest Storm Trajectory of Severe Tropical Storm / Cyclone Eloise suggests that the system will move over the Limpopo River Basin- an area nutorious for flooding and flash flooding- from Saturday, 23|01|2021. Stagnant water can cause the spread of disease, and transportation or communication infrastructure may have been destroyed, hampering clean-up and rescue efforts. “LV” represents a separate depression of similar strength which formed yesterday as a result of the convergence of Equatorial air from the north, and a mid-latitude front that came from the south and clashed with it driven by a high pressure anti-cyclone in the south. pic.twitter.com/Rg8MOFBLUM, Severe TS #Eloise is about to make landfall near #Ambohitralanana, #Madagascar. We will do a Special Daily Topic later today on HOW TO PREPARE FOR A TROPICAL STORM OR CYCLONE. Maps and Text:Joint Typhoon Warning CentreMeteo FranceCycloneEumetsatAfriWXWindy. In addition to current rainfall falling today into tomorrow there is a big threat of flash floods from upstream rivers that have already burst their banks and upstream Dams releasing massive amounts of water to protect their integrity. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED TO THE SOUTHEAST. Latest Trajectory of Tropical Overland Depression #Eloise from Meteo France. Jumping the gun with untimely warnings will only worsen speculation and panic. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS THAT TC 12S HAS STEADILY WEAKENED AS IT MOVED INLAND. THE CYCLONE WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE(STR) TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST, DRAG ACROSS THE ISLAND, THEN EXIT INTO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AROUND TAU 36, AND BY TAU 96 WILL MAKE LANDFALL INTO SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE NORTH OF MAXIXE. Central pressure is 978hPa and is still moving in a West-South-Westerly direction. 5. The images from the NASA Earth Observatory are from January 30, 2021, a week after the storm made the landfall in central Mozambique. This will mean a lot for our ability to bring you news, perspectives and analysis from the ground so that we can make change together. Latest Storm Trajectory for Severe Tropical Storm / Cyclone EloiseFriday 22 January 2021 – 08h00 SAST – Meteo France, Watch beautiful Satellite Animations of Tropical Storm / Cyclone Eloise at https://weathertube.co.za. A satellite image plotting the course of tropical storm Eloise. Even well inland, heavy rainfall can lead to landslides in mountainous areas.After the cyclone has passed, devastation often continues. pic.twitter.com/kU7YhJGHDY, Cyclone season has begun in Mozambique . Convergence will be extinguished by tomorrow (Tue), so rain will dramatically subside or clear in the north-east. The Scale used for Tropical Cyclones in our region (South West Indian Ocean- SWIO) is the Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale, not the Saffir-Simpson Scale that the Americans uses. 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