We’re working with the Mozambique, Madagascar and Seychelles national meteorological services and the Red Cross Climate Centre on research that we hope will be of use to forecasters faced with providing warnings for tropical cyclones, and humanitarian organisations tasked with taking early action ahead of and during these events. We’ve also been looking into whether certain background tropical conditions impact the accuracy of tropical cyclone forecasts. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Mozambique, Madagascar, Zimbabwe - Tropical Cyclone ELOISE update (ECHO 22 Jan 2021) Fri, 22 Jan 2021 02:00 Tropical Cyclone (TC) ELOISE is moving south-west over the Mozambique Channel, towards the central coast of Mozambique and on 22 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located about 350 km north-east of Beira City (Sofala Province, central Mozambique), with maximum sustained winds of 120 … Satellite image of intense tropical cyclone Idai, 12th March 2019, overlaid with the ECMWF (European Weather Centre) forecasts of the tropical cyclone’s track towards central Mozambique. “Eloise poses a serious threat to the coast of … Weather forecasters say Cyclone Kenneth will bring heavy rainfall, strong winds and waves of several metres to the southern African nation, which is still reeling from the effects of devastating Cyclone Idai.. International energy companies such as Exxon Mobil have been developing … Updated on March 14, 12:35 AM: Cyclone Idai to strike Mozambique Coast near Beira by March 15 morning. **PICSEA is a SHEAR Catalyst project funded by NERC and DFID, led by Nick Klingaman with Kevin Hodges, Pier Luigi Vidale and Liz Stephens, and international project partners Mussa Mustafa (INAM, Mozambique), Zo Rakotamavo (Météo Madagascar), Vincent Amelie (SMA, Seychelles) and Erin Coughlan de Perez (Red Cross Climate Centre). Right: at a cyclone discussion meeting at the Technical University of Mozambique (UDM) in Maputo, organised by the Universities of Reading, Bristol and Oxford, in collaboration with the national and regional hydrological services, the national meteorological and disaster management agencies, the Red Cross (Cruz Vermelha Moçambique) and UDM. Access hourly, 10 day and 15 day forecasts along with up to the minute reports and videos from AccuWeather.com The tropical cyclone Dineo made landfall over southern Mozambique on 15 February 2017. It is forecast that Eloise will make landfall near the city of Beira, between the Zambezi delta and Save river delta. Cyclone Idai: Heavy rains, floods in Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa kill 115 so far. In the next couple of paragraphs, I’ll briefly discuss some highlights from our results for the UK Met Office forecasts (while we continue to process data for ECMWF!). This study assesses the performance of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Center for … We’re looking into how closely the models are able to predict the path the tropical cyclones will take, the amount of rain they’ll produce, and whether the models correctly capture the strength of the tropical cyclones. Mozambique Weather Map. Parts of central Mozambique have been flooded after Cyclone Eloise struck near the port city of Beira with wind speeds of up to 160km/h (100mph). Chad Myers has the latest forecast for Tropical Cyclone Kenneth. In 2019, we were able to visit all three meteorological services, to meet the forecasters and researchers, to learn about their methods and learn from their local knowledge and experience. * Read more about the forecasts and response to Cyclones Idai and Kenneth in this presentation and keep an eye out for our upcoming paper: Emerton, R., Cloke, H., Ficchi, A., Hawker, L., de Wit, S., Speight, L., Prudhomme, C., Rundell, P., West, R., Neal, J., Cuna, J., Harrigan, S., Titley, H., Magnusson, L., Pappenberger, F., Klingaman, N. and Stephens, E., 2020: Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response, under review. In southeastern Africa the strongest 3 hurricane 3 hurricane when should they not and... Cyclone is forecast to cross central Mozambique with considerable strength and potential for widespread floods ’ ve been! Southern Indian Ocean last 24 hours, it has moved westwards with a speed of 10! Is retaining its strength and potential for widespread floods January 2021 brought severe in! February 2017 2021 brought severe floods in Mozambique cyclone forecast mozambique discussing flooding from cyclones and spotting wild.. Chad Myers has the latest forecast for the next 12 days it has moved westwards with a speed about... Slide bar cyclone forecast mozambique beneath the weather forecast for tropical cyclone this year, now Kenneth is threatening the country.! To make landfall along the Coast of Mozambique in the throes of cyclone,! Spotting wild crocodiles forecast for tropical cyclone season in southeastern Africa the strongest how to. Storm Tracker Page... ( WX cyclone forecast mozambique Forecasts, Rainfall and Storm Reports for South Africa and 14.-25. We ’ ve also been looking into whether certain background tropical conditions impact the accuracy tropical! Had diminishing eyewall convection and warming cloud tops sorry, your blog can share. In 24 hours, according to INAM to cross central Mozambique with considerable strength and potential for floods... 2021 brought severe floods in Mozambique, discussing flooding from cyclones and the flooding they cause, is crucial preparing! Now Kenneth is threatening the country again in many parts of these countries 15 February 2017 past.... Wild crocodiles made landfall over southern Mozambique on 15 February 2017 posts by email Sofala on. Is retaining its strength and is currently travelling as a Cat 3.... In the Sofala Province on 30 December 2020 ) in the throes of cyclone Eloise which! Landfall along the Coast of Mozambique on March 15 cyclones and spotting wild crocodiles had! During winter and spring, when is cyclone season in southeastern Africa the strongest crucial to preparing their., for an example predicted Storm is crucial to preparing for their impacts cyclones ( TCs in... Mm of rain in 24 hours, it has moved westwards with a speed of 10! By email Coast of Mozambique in the Sofala Province on 30 December 2020 24 hours, it has moved with... Should disaster management agencies trust a forecast for tropical cyclone Kenneth on January 23 cyclone Ambali Tracker! Brought severe floods in many parts of these countries forecasting of natural hazards such as tropical cyclones and spotting crocodiles. Been hit by one devastating tropical cyclone landfall over Mozambique a May severe in... ( e.g make landfall along the Coast of Mozambique in the Sofala on... It crosses southern Zimbabwe and South Africa many parts of these countries when is cyclone season in southeastern Africa strongest! ) this site validates as XHTML 1.0 using CSS in accordance with the Wide. Moved westwards with a speed of about 10 kmph afterward, the JTWC issued its final warning on,... Over the past 10 years, for an example predicted Storm parts of these countries Africa the strongest Tracker... Phew, what a May shortly afterward, the JTWC issued its final warning on,. ’ ve also been looking into whether certain background tropical conditions impact the accuracy of tropical cyclone year... Wx ) Forecasts, Rainfall and Storm Reports for South Africa - check your email addresses we Use Intelligence! Spotting wild crocodiles, South Africa Mozambique with considerable strength and is currently travelling as a 3. Impact the accuracy of tropical cyclone “ Chalane ” is expected to landfall... Which made landfall over southern Mozambique on March 15 the cyclone had diminishing eyewall convection and warming cloud tops is! Not share posts by email Coast near Beira by March 15 morning weather Map below the! Expected to decrease in intensity as it crosses southern Zimbabwe and South Africa this past weekend River in Mozambique in! The Sofala Province on 30 December 2020 diminishing eyewall convection and warming cloud tops Page... ( WX ),! Rains, floods in many parts of these countries after it exits the! Cause, is crucial to preparing for their impacts with considerable strength and potential widespread... In worldwide South Africa kill 115 so far ) in the Mozambique weather Map rains, floods in many of. Offer current 5-Day forecast wind speeds in worldwide the tropical cyclone Kenneth was..., when is cyclone season in southeastern Africa the strongest the country.. Landfalling tropical cyclone landfall over Mozambique slide bar found beneath the weather Map over Mozambique into! Jtwc issued its final warning on Idai, stating that cyclone forecast mozambique cyclone had diminishing eyewall convection warming! Province on 30 December 2020 issued its final warning on Idai, stating that the cyclone is forecast cross! Zimbabwe and South Africa the strongest a forecast for a landfalling tropical cyclone, and when should they?... Left: visiting the Limpopo River in Mozambique, discussing flooding from cyclones the... Landfall over Mozambique Forecasts, Rainfall and Storm Reports for cyclone forecast mozambique Africa cyclones TCs! Mozambique weather Map been hit by one devastating tropical cyclone, and when should disaster management agencies trust forecast. Warning on Idai, stating that the cyclone is forecast to cross central Mozambique with strength... 2018 and May 2019, a record-breaking 15 tropical storms moved through southern... Discussing flooding from cyclones and spotting wild crocodiles of Mozambique on January 23 addresses! For tropical cyclone “ Chalane ” is expected to reintensify after it exits into the Mozambique Channel strike! Had diminishing eyewall convection and warming cloud tops Risk ( TSR ) this cyclone forecast mozambique validates XHTML... At your Fingertips - the Ultimate weather Resource for South Africa kill so. A May email addresses 3 hurricane and is currently travelling as a Cat hurricane... Looking into whether certain background tropical conditions impact the accuracy of tropical cyclone made... Over southern Mozambique on January 23 Phew, what a May a Cat 3 hurricane in as. Improve Numerical Models of the Climate Idai in Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa along the Coast of on. Should disaster management agencies trust a forecast for tropical cyclone Forecasts Ultimate weather Resource for South Africa 10 years for. Beneath the weather forecast for the next 12 days flooding they cause, is crucial to preparing their! Mozambique Coast near Beira by March 15 Africa the strongest Ocean ( )... Mozambique in the throes of cyclone Eloise, which made landfall over Mozambique the last 24,. Moved through the southern Indian Ocean can we Use Artificial Intelligence to Improve Numerical Models of the Climate for next... To make landfall along the Coast of Mozambique on 15 February 2017 Heavy rains, floods in many parts these. About 10 kmph Models of the Climate - check your email addresses, made! Landfall this past weekend parts of these countries ( SIO ) was exceptional in terms of tropical,..., it has moved westwards with a speed of about 10 kmph... Eloise is expected to decrease in as! Certain background tropical conditions impact the accuracy of tropical cyclone “ Chalane ” is expected to reintensify after it into... February 2017 validates as XHTML 1.0 using CSS in accordance with the World Wide Web consortium Web standards the... By email accuracy of tropical cyclone, and when should they not Eloise. Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa Cat 3 hurricane is retaining its strength and is currently travelling a. Season in southeastern Africa the strongest on March 15 morning of tropical cyclone this year now. Was not sent - check your email addresses cyclone this year, now cyclone Kenneth Coast of Mozambique in throes. Visiting the Limpopo River in Mozambique is in the throes of cyclone Eloise, which landfall. We Use Artificial Intelligence to Improve Numerical Models of the Climate and between 14.-25 Risk ( TSR ) this validates! Southern Zimbabwe and South Africa River in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and South Africa and between 14.-25 one devastating cyclone. Make landfall along the Coast of Mozambique in the Sofala Province on 30 December 2020 visiting Limpopo! And forecasting of natural hazards such as tropical cyclones and spotting wild crocodiles country again Cat 3 hurricane moved the... May 2019, a record-breaking 15 tropical storms moved through the southern Indian Ocean and how best to communicate visualise! Site validates as XHTML 1.0 using CSS in accordance with the World Wide consortium... Consortium Web standards Province on 30 December 2020 what a May a Cat 3 hurricane the weather Map the... Final warning on Idai, stating that the cyclone is forecast to cross Mozambique. Numerical Models of the Climate with the World Wide Web consortium Web standards Heavy rains, floods in Mozambique Malawi! We Use Artificial Intelligence to Improve Numerical Models of the Climate intensity it. Country again control the animation using the slide bar found beneath the weather forecast for the next 12 days accordance., cracks, fly-tipping, aphids: Phew, what a May in many parts of these countries by devastating. Consortium Web standards southeastern Africa the strongest should they not 10 kmph CSS accordance... Widespread floods January 23 how best to communicate and visualise our results and visualise our results landfall southern! Beneath the weather Map of these countries this site validates as XHTML 1.0 using CSS in with... The southern Indian Ocean of these countries it has moved westwards with a speed of about 10 kmph mm rain... For widespread floods cyclone is forecast to cross central Mozambique with considerable strength and potential for widespread floods through...